Top broker says the Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA) share price is still overvalued

This banking giant's shares may be expensive according to one leading broker…

| More on:
A share market investment manager monitors share price movements on his mobile phone and laptop

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price was well and truly out of form on Monday.

The shares of Australia's largest bank dropped a sizeable 5.7% to $98.06.

Why did the Commonwealth Bank share price tumble?

The Commonwealth Bank share price came under pressure on Monday after broad weakness in the banking sector offset the release of a positive announcement relating to another divestment.

In respect to the latter, the banking giant has signed an agreement to sell its general insurance business to underwriter Hollard Group for $625 million. It also includes undisclosed deferred payments that are payable upon achieving certain business milestones.

Furthermore, the agreement will see additional investment from Hollard throughout a 15-year strategic alliance to drive innovation and enhance the customer experience. Commonwealth Bank will also continue to earn income on the distribution of home and motor insurance products.

Should investors buy the dip?

Despite the sizeable pullback in the Commonwealth Bank share price on Monday, one leading broker doesn't believe investors should be jumping in just yet.

According to a note out of Morgan Stanley, its analysts have retained their underweight rating and $89.50 price target on its shares. Based on the latest Commonwealth Bank share price, this price target implies potential downside of ~11% over the next 12 months.

The broker estimates that the deal with Hollard will boost its CET1 ratio by an estimated 9 basis points and expects it to support a $5 billion share buyback in August.

However, even after factoring this buyback into the equation, it isn't enough for Morgan Stanley to become more positive on the bank. It notes that the company's shares are trading on record high multiples and believes there is a better option for investors among the big four.

That option is Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC). Earlier this month the broker put an overweight rating and $29.20 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of ~10% over the next 12 months.

James Mickleboro owns Westpac shares. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Morgans names more of the best ASX shares to buy

The broker has given these shares a big thumbs up.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Broker Notes

These ASX 300 shares could rise 20% to 65%

Big returns could be on the cards for these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these are some of the very best ASX 200 shares to buy

The broker believes these shares could be destined to deliver big returns.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »