Is the 11% drop in the Xero (ASX:XRO) share price a buying opportunity?

The Xero Limited (ASX:XRO) share price is sinking 11% today following the release of its full year results. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:
Woman in mustard yellow blouse on laptop holds both hands out to either side with graphic illustration of question marks above them

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price has come under significant pressure on Thursday.

In morning trade, the cloud-based business and accounting platform provider's shares were down as much as 11.5% to $119.16.

At the time of writing, the Xero share price has recovered to be down 7.5% at $124.76.

Why is the Xero share price under pressure?

There have been a couple of catalysts for today's weakness in the Xero share price.

The first is weakness in the tech sector following another selloff on the tech-focused Nasdaq index overnight.

At the time of writing, the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) is down a disappointing 2.5%.

What else is weighing on its shares?

Also weighing on the Xero share price today was the release of its full year results this morning.

For the 12 months ended 31 March, Xero reported an 18% increase in revenue to NZ$848.8 million and a 39% jump in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to NZ$191.2 million.

While this was a strong result, particularly in the current environment, it has fallen short of the market's expectations.

The consensus estimate was for revenue of NZ$854 million and EBITDA of NZ$228 million. This means Xero has fallen short of expectations by 0.7% and 16.2%, respectively, with its result.

Also potentially weighing on its shares was management's commentary on its margins for next year. It is forecasting total operating expenses (excluding acquisition integration costs) as a percentage of operating revenue to be in a range of 80% to 85%. This compares to 70.4% during the first half of FY 2021.

And while the latter part of the range is higher than normal, the lower end of the range is roughly in line with previous years. Furthermore, it is worth noting that the first half figure was far lower than normal due to significant cost management during the height of the pandemic.

Is this a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts appear to believe the weakness in the Xero share price is a buying opportunity.

While the broker hasn't yet fully digested the result and updated its recommendation, it spoke positively about it.

Goldman said: "Overall we view the FY21 result as a positive, with Xero showing earlier than expected subscriber traction across all of its key international markets, but without sacrificing unit economics. As a result, we believe the accelerated investment is more than justified, given the enormous TAM the company is targeting."

Goldman Sachs currently has a buy rating and $153.00 price target on its shares. Based on the current Xero share price, this implies potential upside of almost 23% over the next 12 months.

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why BHP, Lynas, Metals X, and Super Retail shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, DroneShield, St Barbara, and Star shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Monday. But why?

Read more »

Woman in dress sitting in chair looking depressed
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Cettire share price plunges 6% after major investor pulls the plug

A 'red flag' triggered this investment company to sell out completely.

Read more »

A skydiving man in a jester hat and carrying a burger and sauce, pokes out his tongue at the camera, indicating all is not lost when you're falling.
Technology Shares

Why is the Droneshield share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Investors are sending shares in Droneshield down 19% in morning trade.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why COG, Karoon Energy, Netwealth, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red. But why?

Read more »