Why I think the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) share price is a sell

I think the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) share price is a sell.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

With the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price currently sitting at around $51.30 I think it's reached the point to sell it.

Ever since the conglomerate announced the plan to split Coles into its own separate entity the share price has impressively gone up nearly 25%. It also announced a number of capital initiatives to add value such as selling its coal assets, selling Kmart Tyre & Auto and ending Bunnings UK & Ireland.

The main question is – do the above moves vindicate a 25% rise in value? I don't think it does.

There's no doubt that executing these moves does add value, particularly at this point in the economic cycle with Australian households looking a bit uncertain.

However, Wesfarmers is not a mid-cap business. It is one of Australia's largest companies.

Once you take all of the divested elements away you are left with Bunnings, Officeworks, Target, Kmart and some industrial businesses.

Arguably in the medium-term Officeworks, Target and Kmart will come under increasing pressure from Amazon and other online competitors. Bunnings is getting a short-term boost from the closure of Masters, but its impressive growth may soon slow down if the Australian house price falls continue. The 'wealth effect' can work negatively as well.

Wesfarmers currently offers an attractive grossed-up dividend yield of 6.2%. Whilst the income is attractive I think that's likely going to be the only returns that investors can make over the next couple of years as the current valuation seems elevated for the future growth on offer.

Foolish takeaway

It's currently trading at 19x FY19's estimated earnings. I think it's better than some blue chips at the current level, but I'd much rather own smaller shares that are growing profit at faster rates.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Defensive Shares

Men standing together and defending the goal post symbolising defensive shares.
Defensive Shares

4 defensive ASX shares to own in a greedy market: Macquarie

These experts reckon the ASX's record highs won't last...

Read more »

Two mature women learn karate for self defence.
Defensive Shares

2 defensive ASX income shares I think investors should consider buying for bumper returns!

These stocks could offer defence and good returns.

Read more »

Defensive Shares

The pros and cons of buying Telstra shares right now

Is this an opportunity calling?

Read more »

A couple makes silly chip moustache faces and take a selfie on their phone.
Defensive Shares

My 2 favourite ASX utility shares for January 2024

These stocks could provide a good mixture of defence and growth.

Read more »

safe dividend yield represented by a piggy bank wrapped in bubble wrap
Defensive Shares

Weathering market storms: Dividend stocks in Australia as a safe harbour

Defensive earnings could help provide stability.

Read more »

safe dividend yield represented by a piggy bank wrapped in bubble wrap
Defensive Shares

Here's my recommendation for safe ASX shares to buy in December 2023

I think these stocks could be two leading defensive picks.

Read more »

Men standing together and defending the goal post symbolising defensive shares.
Defensive Shares

5 top defensive ASX shares for turbulent times

These stocks could be long-term defensive winners.

Read more »

a child dressed in army fatigues lies on the ground in his backyard wearing leaves and branches on his head as camouflage and peering through a pair of binoculars in a soldier pose.
Defensive Shares

Searching for defensive ASX shares? Here's what I look out for

Not all defensive companies make for good investments.

Read more »