Is the Evolution Mining Ltd share price in the buy zone?

So far, so good for the Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX:EVN) share price this morning. In early trade it has edged higher. Here's why…

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The Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price has edged higher in morning trade after the leading gold miner announced record half-year profit.

Highlights from the result include:

  • Record half-year underlying profit of $136.3 million, up 26% on the prior corresponding period.
  • EBITDA increased by 21% to $345.3 million.
  • Half-year production of 423,120 ounces
  • All-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $978 an ounce (US$738 an ounce).
  • Average realised gold price of $1,656 per ounce.
  • Net mine cash flow of $213.6 million.
  • Interim unfranked dividend of 2 cents per share.

I think this result demonstrates why Evolution mining is up there with Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) as one of the highest quality gold miners Australia has to offer.

Last year Evolution produced 803,476 ounces of gold at an AISC of A$1,014 per ounce generating a net mine cash flow of $428.2 million.

This year the company is targeting up to 860,000 ounces at an AISC of between $900 and $960 per ounce. After this strong first-half I feel confident the company will achieve this and potentially deliver a record full-year profit.

But is it a buy?

A lot will of course depend on the future direction of the gold price. At present the spot gold price fetches US$1,232 (A$1,595) an ounce.

But as the Federal Reserve raises rates in the United States I believe the U.S dollar will strengthen and the gold price will weaken, putting pressure on Australia's gold miners.

If you're like me and reasonably bearish on gold, then I would suggest you avoid an investment in Evolution or its peers at this point in time.

But if you're bullish on gold then you certainly could do a lot worse than an investment in this gold miner.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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