2015 was the year of the China food boom with shares of a2 Milk Company Ltd (Australia) (ASX: A2M), Bellamy’s Australia Ltd (ASX: BAL) and Blackmores Limited (ASX: BKL) posting all-time highs during the calendar year.

Although two out of the three are within striking distance of their 2015 highs again, the big winner of 2016 so far is Catapult Group International Ltd (ASX: CAT).

With management announcing completion of its retail entitlement offer on Tuesday, the big question on everyone’s lips remains – is it too late to buy Catapult shares?

Catapult share price Aug 2016

Source: Yahoo Finance

 

About Catapult

Catapult flies under the radar of most investors with its lowly market capitalisation of $330 million. However, things could change very quickly if trends continue with the stock up 206% in 2016 alone.

Catapult is in the business of sport’s science, having developed wearable active wear with the Australian Institute of Sport to track and analyse elite athletes. According to its website, Catapult’s technology empowers coaches and athletes to analyse tactical play and determine match fitness using its proprietary micro-technology and analytics software.

Financials

Catapult’s value proposition appears to be working in its favour, with the company boasting over 850 elite teams, sports institutes and universities as its clients globally, including Hawthorn Football Club, Real Madrid FC and the Toronto Raptors.

Demand for its product means Catapult has grown from strength to strength, reporting its third consecutive all-time record quarterly sales result last Monday. For the June quarter, Catapult increased sales by 54% on prior corresponding period (pcp), equating to annualised sales growth of 84% (or $13.4 million).

Given the stickiness of its operations (through multi-year contracts with sporting teams), Catapult’s total contract value for FY16 came in 74% higher at $29.4 million. This figure exceeded management’s upgraded guidance provided in November 2015, indicating the company performed much better than expected.

Downside risk?

Of course, with such solid numbers, Catapult’s share price has gone gangbusters and therein lies its downside risk, in my opinion.

Since the start of its 2015 financial year (i.e. 1 July 2015), Catapult’s shares have risen more than 640% in value with its shares currently trading near all-time highs – as the chart above shows.

The recent completion of a $100 million capital raise has done little to derail its upwards trajectory, with Catapult’s entitlement offer being oversubscribed and scaled-back (for the top-up facility). The proceeds from the capital raising will be used to fund Catapult’s recent XOS and PLAYERTEK acquisitions, indicating that the company is still looking for ways to grow organically.

Accordingly, investors buying shares in Catapult today are assuming management will execute this growth strategy to perfection.

Foolish takeaway

Whilst it is entirely possible that Catapult’s shares continue surging higher from current prices, I believe a purchase at the present time places too much confidence in management’s ability to exceed expectations.

Even though history shows management is capable of doing this, I would wait for a pullback in price before buying shares in Catapult.

How 1 Man Made 100x His Money After 50

Few know, that as Warren Buffett blew out the candles on his 50th birthday cake, he had just 1% of his current fortune. Think about it: At an age when most give up hope, Buffett was just getting started on the remaining 99% of his fortune. Goes to show you that it's never too late for you to potentially get rich. Which is why we've gathered the strategies we learned from Buffett, distilled them down to 11 simple lessons, and put it in an exclusive report for you to claim. Just click here to learn more about this handy investing guide.

HOT OFF THE PRESSES: Motley Fool’s #1 Dividend Pick for 2017!

With its shares up 155% in just the last five years, this ‘under the radar’ consumer favourite is both a hot growth stock AND our expert’s #1 dividend pick for 2017. Now we’re pulling back the curtain for you... And all you have to do to discover the name, code and a full analysis is enter your email below!

Simply enter your email now to receive your copy of our brand-new FREE report, “The Motley Fool’s Top Dividend Stock for 2017.”

By clicking this button, you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our website and about other products and services we think might interest you. You can unsubscribe from Take Stock at anytime. Please refer to our https://www.fool.com.au/financial-services-guide">Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information.

Motley Fool contributor Rachit Dudhwala has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk and Bellamy's Australia. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.