Here's why Lynas shares could rise 33% this year

Bell Potter believes this rare earths share could rise strongly in 2024.

| More on:
A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares have been sold off over the last 12 months.

During this time, the rare earths producer's shares are down 25%.

While this is very disappointing, analysts at Bell Potter believe it could have created a buying opportunity for investors this year.

Lynas shares tipped as a buy

Bell Potter highlights that rare earths prices finished the year on a "sour note" and has downgraded its earnings estimates through to FY 2026 to reflect this.

Though, there is reason to be positive. The broker notes that "the weakening in prices caused delays for additional supply entering the market over 2023, which may further exacerbate future supply constraints and improve the outlook for LYC."

In light of this, Bell Potter remains positive on Lynas shares and has retained its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.50.

Based on the current Lynas share price of $6.38, this implies a potential upside of 33% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker summarises its thoughts on the company as follows:

We have incorporated the above adjustments into our valuation which resulted in a 3.4% decrease in our target price to $8.50/sh (previously $8.80/sh) and we maintain our Buy recommendation in accordance with our ratings structure. LYC remains a high-quality business, and a key supplier of separated rare earths to Western economies. Our valuation doesn't consider expansions beyond 12ktpa NdPr as timing and costs pertaining to this are yet unknown, however the upside scenario could be a meaningful contributor to value should further details be released to the market.

Overall, the broker appears to believe that Lynas shares could be a good option for investors looking for exposure to the mining sector right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares tumble as falling prices hit export values

Here are all the details from a new report released today.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Materials Shares

Why are Sayona Mining shares getting thumped today?

Should this miner have put its lithium operation on care and maintenance?

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Materials Shares

BHP shares sink on $60b Anglo American takeover news

The Big Australian could be on the verge of a major acquisition.

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Materials Shares

Dirt cheap! Why Lynas shares could rise 18%

Bell Potter sees a lot of value in this rare earths miner's shares.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Materials Shares

Why Fortescue shares could crash 30%

One leading broker believes this mining giant's shares are severely overvalued.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Materials Shares

Here's the Pilbara Minerals dividend forecast through to 2028

Let's see what analysts are predicting for this lithium giant's dividends.

Read more »

A man wearing glasses and a white t-shirt pumps his fists in the air looking excited and happy about the rising OBX share price
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX lithium stock is rocketing 15% on big news

Why are investors buying this lithium share on Wednesday?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources share price tumbles amid ongoing lithium price weakness

ASX 200 investors are bidding down the Mineral Resources share price on Wednesday.

Read more »