Here's why Lynas shares could rise 33% this year

Bell Potter believes this rare earths share could rise strongly in 2024.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares have been sold off over the last 12 months.

During this time, the rare earths producer's shares are down 25%.

While this is very disappointing, analysts at Bell Potter believe it could have created a buying opportunity for investors this year.

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.

Image source: Getty Images

Lynas shares tipped as a buy

Bell Potter highlights that rare earths prices finished the year on a "sour note" and has downgraded its earnings estimates through to FY 2026 to reflect this.

Though, there is reason to be positive. The broker notes that "the weakening in prices caused delays for additional supply entering the market over 2023, which may further exacerbate future supply constraints and improve the outlook for LYC."

In light of this, Bell Potter remains positive on Lynas shares and has retained its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.50.

Based on the current Lynas share price of $6.38, this implies a potential upside of 33% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker summarises its thoughts on the company as follows:

We have incorporated the above adjustments into our valuation which resulted in a 3.4% decrease in our target price to $8.50/sh (previously $8.80/sh) and we maintain our Buy recommendation in accordance with our ratings structure. LYC remains a high-quality business, and a key supplier of separated rare earths to Western economies. Our valuation doesn't consider expansions beyond 12ktpa NdPr as timing and costs pertaining to this are yet unknown, however the upside scenario could be a meaningful contributor to value should further details be released to the market.

Overall, the broker appears to believe that Lynas shares could be a good option for investors looking for exposure to the mining sector right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium shares jump 8% after a milestone investors have waited months for

The comeback continues after a huge year for the stock.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Materials Shares

Why this news from China has changed the outlook for BHP shares

A customer wants to become a part-owner.

Read more »

Two people wearing hard hats talking with each other at a mine site, with two workers in the background.
Materials Shares

This ASX materials stock is up 700% this year and could be the next big copper winner

This stock could back up the hype.

Read more »

Female miner standing next to a haul truck in a large mining operation.
Resources Shares

Why is everyone talking about China and BHP shares today?

What on earth is happening with BHP and China?

Read more »

Happy businessman fist pumping while looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why Liontown shares could be dirt cheap

Bell Potter has been running the rule over this lithium miner.

Read more »

Man smiling ahead while working on his MacBook.
Materials Shares

Why PLS shares rocketed 30% in August

This lithium giant delivered an incredible FY 2026 result last month.

Read more »

Army man and woman on digital devices.
Materials Shares

IperionX wins US Army contract to ramp up titanium production

The company has won a second US Army contract, securing fresh funding for industrial-scale titanium production and strengthening its American…

Read more »

happy group of people
Earnings Results

Black Cat Syndicate posts record FY26 earnings and profit turnaround

Black Cat Syndicate reports record FY26 results, including a $374 million revenue surge and $86 million profit turnaround on strong…

Read more »