Why has Goldman Sachs just upgraded CSL shares?

This biotech giant could be in the buy zone according to a leading broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Now could be the time to snap up CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) shares.

That's the view of analysts at Goldman Sachs, which believe that now is a "compelling entry point after [a] multiple de-rate."

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.

Image source: Getty Images

Why are CSL shares a buy?

Goldman has been looking at the biotherapeutics giant's outlook and believes it is entering a capital-efficient growth period. In light of this, the broker is forecasting major improvements in its returns between now and FY 2027. It said:

CSL is now entering a period of more capital-efficient growth, driving a sharp improvement in our ROIC forecast (+460bps by FY27E). This positive inflection also coincides with a period of historically-high earnings growth (+14% CAGR FY23-27E), which serves to amplify those incremental returns to shareholders.

Goldman also highlights that despite the above, CSL shares are trading at a significant discount to historical levels. Though, it suspects that if its predictions come true, this discount won't last long. It adds:

Although CSL's valuation has historically correlated closely with our measure of forward returns, this relationship broke down through FY22-23 as the NTM P/E multiple de-rated more quickly than expected (from c.46x in Jun-21 to c.23x in Oct-23). However, the forward profile is now materially stronger, and we expect reported improvements in margins/returns through the upcoming periods to once again drive a re-rating in the shares.

Major upside potential

According to the note, the broker has upgraded CSL's shares to a buy rating with a $309.00 price target.

Based on its current share price, this implies a potential upside of 22% for investors over the next 12 months.

All in all, Goldman appears to believe this could be a great time for investors to snap up the shares of one of Australia's highest-quality companies.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A senior pharmacist talks to a customer at the counter in a shop.
Healthcare Shares

Broker sees 26% upside in ASX healthcare share behind Chemist Warehouse

Morgans has just upgraded its rating on this ASX healthcare stock due to ongoing share price weakness.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Healthcare Shares

Why this ASX healthcare stock is surging while the market sinks on Middle East fears

Avita shares surge as a US government contract boosts sentiment again

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Healthcare Shares

Should you buy Telix shares after its big US news?

Is this milestone a reason to invest? Let's find out.

Read more »

Three health professionals at a hospital smile for the camera.
Healthcare Shares

Up 31% in a month, why are Telix shares lifting off again on Friday?

ASX investors are piling into Telix shares today. But why?

Read more »

Doctor checking patient's spine x-ray image.
Healthcare Shares

Where is the value amongst ASX healthcare shares?

These three stocks are worth monitoring.

Read more »

Two lab workers fist pump each other.
Healthcare Shares

Telix Pharmaceuticals: FDA accepts Pixclara NDA

The FDA has accepted Telix's Pixclara NDA for imaging brain cancer.

Read more »

Six smiling health workers pose for a selfie.
Healthcare Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX healthcare stock could rise nearly 200%

The positive announcement has reinforced the broker's recommendation.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Healthcare Shares

CSL shares: 3 reasons to buy and 3 reasons to sell

CSL shares have tumbled again.

Read more »