Down 20% since February, have Lynas rare earths shares been oversold?

Is this ASX rare earths share a stand-out buying opportunity?

| More on:
a miner with a green hard hat stands in front of a piece of heavy mining equipment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Lynas shares have shed than 20% since February 
  • One analyst is recommending investors buy up Lynas shares given they may have been "oversold" 
  • Lynas has recently received an operating licence extension for its Malaysia processing plant until 1 January 2024

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares have plunged since February, but could this be an opportunity?

Lynas shares have shed 20.82% since market close on 1 February and are now priced at $7.68 apiece. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) has dropped nearly 5% during the same time frame.

Let's take a look at the outlook for this ASX rare earths share.

What's on the cards?

Lynas Rare Earths is producing rare earths from the Mt Weld mine in Western Australia. The company also operates rare earths processing plants in Malaysia and Kalgoorlie.

One analyst recommending Lynas shares as a buy is Fairmont Equities managing director Michael Gable.

Gable is optimistic Lynas will attract more investors, despite being "oversold" in recent times. Commenting on The Bull, Gable said:

LYC shares were recently oversold on the back of concerns that production would be impacted when LYC switched to its new processing plant in Kalgoorlie.

With an extension granted to its Malaysian plant, LYC won't lose any production time. Combined with improving sentiment in the resources space, we expect the stock to attract more buyers at recent prices.

On the flip side, Goldman Sachs slapped Lynas with a $6.90 price target last month, implying a 10% downside for the share price.

However, Macquarie placed an outperform rating on Lynas while Bell Potter lifted its 12-month price target on the company's share price to $8.90.

In early May, Lynas received positive news that it will be able to keep operating its Malaysian processing facility until 1 January 2024. This follows Lynas' appeal to Malaysia's Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation. Previously, Lynas had advised it would need to shut down the Malaysian facility in July.

Share price snapshot

The Lynas Rare Earths share price has lost nearly 10% in the past year.

This ASX rare earths share has a market capitalisation of about $7.1 billion based on the latest share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Materials Shares

Why is the IGO share price jumping 10% today?

Weak lithium prices weighed heavily on this miner's performance. But something has got investors excited.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 200 iron ore stock could rise 30%

Goldman Sachs thinks this miner could deliver big returns for investors.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistfull of Australian money, indicating a dividends windfall
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in BHP shares and get $480 in passive income

Here's what sort of passive income Goldman Sachs expects from the Big Australian.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are Pilbara shares worth buying right now?

Is the current Pilbara stock price low enough for me to buy?

Read more »

A woman crosses her hands in front of her body in a defensive stance indicating a trading halt.
Materials Shares

BHP shares fall again after Anglo American rejects takeover offer

The Big Australian's offer 'significantly undervalues' the miner.

Read more »

a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium share price tumbles to multi-year low following quarterly update

This lithium miner has released its first update since suspending mining activities.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares tumble as falling prices hit export values

Here are all the details from a new report released today.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Materials Shares

Why are Sayona Mining shares getting thumped today?

Should this miner have put its lithium operation on care and maintenance?

Read more »