What's in store for the Westpac share price in June?

Will Westpac shares fare better this month?

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I think it is fair to say that the month of May was not kind to the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price.

As we covered here, during the month, the banking giant's shares lost 8% of their value.

This was significantly worse that the performance of the ASX 200 index, which fell 3% over the period.

A woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.

Image source: Getty Imgaes

Will June be better for the Westpac share price?

Unfortunately, after just over a week, things are not looking good for the Westpac share price and they are down 3% month-to-date.

This weakness has been driven partly by the Reserve Bank's decision to raise the cash rate and concerns that a recession could be coming.

Though, it is worth highlighting that I'm not aware of a single broker that has a price target lower than where its shares currently trade.

For example, the least positive broker that I've seen is Morgan Stanley, which has an equal-weight rating and $21.00 price target. This implies potential upside of 5% from current levels. There's also a 7% dividend yield coming in FY 2023 and FY 2024 according to the broker, lifting the total potential return to 12%.

On the other side of the coin, you have analysts at Goldman Sachs and Morgans, which have the equivalent of buy ratings on its shares with price targets of $24.67 and $24.22, respectively.

This implies potential upside of over 20% for investors. Both brokers also agree that a fully franked dividend yield of at least 7% is coming this year and next.

This could be a sign that when sentiment finally shifts, the Westpac share price could launch materially higher.

But when will that happen? That's the million-dollar question. I suspect when the cash rate finally reaches its peak, investors may come back to the banking sector. But time will tell if that is the case.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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