Should I buy Lynas shares while they're under $7?

Is now the time to pounce on this beaten down rare earths share?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Lynas shares started the year strongly and were smashing the market
  • Soon after, a couple of events has seen its shares get smashed themselves
  • One broker believes this is an overreaction and sees a lot of value in them under $7

The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price has taken a real beating in 2023.

Since the start of the year, the rare earths producer's shares have fallen almost 17%.

However, that doesn't take into account the very strong start to the year that its shares had.

The Lynas share price was up as much as 24% year to date at the end of January. So, from the top, the company's shares have lost almost a third of their value.

This has been driven largely by comments out of Tesla, which revealed that the electric vehicle giant is planning to stop using rare earths in its vehicles.

In addition, news relating to its Malaysian licence weighed on its shares. That news reveals that its licence has been renewed but will now prohibit the import and processing of lanthanide concentrate after 1 July 2023.

These processes will have to be undertaken at Lynas' Kalgoorlie Rare Processing Facility once operational.

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Lynas share price good value under $7?

Analysts at Bell Potter believe that the recent weakness in the Lynas share price has created a buying opportunity.

So much so, the broker has just upgraded its shares to a buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.06. This implies potential upside of 23% for investors from current levels.

The broker believes there's plenty of growth opportunities for the company outside Tesla. It commented:

We argue yes, despite near-term earnings risk perpetuated by the commissioning of Kalgoorlie (and replacement of Malaysia), a weaker near-term NdPr price (on the back of increased Chinese production quotas) and Teslas move to replace rare earth permanent magnets, we believe the recent ~34% sell-off to be largely overdone.

[W]e adjust our production and revenue outlook on a constrained ramp up at Kalgoorlie and lower near-term NdPr prices and adjust for the issue of new securities. Whilst the near-term risks are undeniable, we fundamentally believe LYC to be the sector leader in the Rare-earth space, with a sound balance sheet, multiple long-term growth pathways underpinned by arguably the best rare-earth deposit at Mt Weld.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Resources Shares

Why did ASX 200 lithium stocks like PLS, Liontown and Mineral Resources shares get smashed in June?

Investors sent ASX lithium producers like Liontown, IGO, PLS and Mineral Resources crashing 15% to 30% in June. But why?

Read more »

Green battery on top of batteries.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX stock is rocketing almost 30% today?

First commercial deliveries have sparked a big share price rally.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Materials Shares

The ASX 200 sector that outperformed the benchmark 7 to 1 in FY26. Can it keep delivering?

Let's take a look.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Materials Shares

Did BHP shares smash the market in FY 2026?

Was it a good year for this mining giant's shares? Let's run the numbers.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Up more than 400% over a year, why is this ASX rare earths share surging almost 20% higher?

Shares in Brazilian Critical Minerals Ltd (ASX: BCM) were charging higher on Tuesday morning after the company published a bankable…

Read more »

Man looking happy and excited as he looks at his mobile phone.
Materials Shares

Which ASX share is racing 5% higher on big news?

This news is going down well with the market. Here's what is happening.

Read more »

A hipster-looking man with bushy beard and multiple arm tattoos sits on the floor against a sofa reading a tablet with his hand on his chin as though he is deep in thought.
Materials Shares

Forget Rio Tinto and buy this ASX copper share

Here's an alternative to the mining behemoth for copper exposure according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

Two boys play outside on an old army tank.
Materials Shares

This small-cap ASX stock is soaring after a major US Army boost

This small-cap ASX stock is back in focus after a US Army boost.

Read more »