Why this expert says Bitcoin isn't 'a safe haven asset', at least not yet

Most cryptos have mirrored risk assets over recent months.

| More on:
Bitcoin ticker on a blue and black sphere.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is many things to many people.

Undoubtedly the world's original crypto provides a means of storing or transferring money that's outside the realm of traditional banks.

But crypto enthusiasts claims that it is akin to digital gold, a new virtual haven asset, have come under fire as the token has closely tracked risk assets in recent months.

Gold prices have largely trended higher as investors first worried about soaring inflation and rising interest rates, and then watched horrified as Russia built its forces around Ukraine and launched a full invasion.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, performed more in line with tech shares and other risk assets.

Haven asset or risk asset?

Gold has been used as a store of wealth for thousands of years, while Bitcoin only came into virtual life in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis. So as it matures over the coming years or decades, its volatility and haven status may well change as well.

But looking at the past month's performance, the token didn't quite stack up to gold as investors scrambled for a safe place to park their wealth amid Russia's military build-up on the Ukrainian border.

One month ago, Bitcoin was trading for US$44,142 (AU$61.138). On 24 February, the day Russia invaded, it had fallen to US$34,459, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Now Bitcoin did briefly rally from there, partly on the back of news that cryptos were assisting the Ukrainian defence efforts, topping out at US$45,077.

Nonetheless it gave back those gains within days and is currently trading for US$39,330, down 11% over the month.

Gold, on the other hand, was trading for US$1,853 per troy ounce on 16 February. By 8 March it had soared to US$2,050 as bullion demand rocketed. While the yellow metal has since retraced to today's US$1,917 per ounce, it still remains up 3.5% over the month.

What the experts are saying about Bitcoin

Those are the past month's price moves for gold and Bitcoin.

So, what are the experts saying?

According to Nigel Green, CEO at deVere Group (quoted by The Australian):

The correlation between crypto and stock markets has been pretty solid over the last few months on both inflation news and geopolitical issues. But this might all change again. The digital gold fundamentals for Bitcoin remain unaltered – namely its limited supply.

If you're not familiar, Bitcoin was designed with a cap of 21 million tokens. Though these can be split into satoshis, or a 100 millionth of a Bitcoin. To date roughly 19 million Bitcoin have been mined. And crypto analysts estimate some 3 million of those may have been lost already.

Anatoly Crachilov, CEO of Nickel Digital Asset Management also warns that cryptos have only very recently emerged.

According to Crachilov, "Investors should not view Bitcoin as a safe haven asset at the current early stage of its adoption curve. Bitcoin clearly behaves as a risk-on asset and will remain such until wider institutional adoption takes place."

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Cryptocurrencies

Concept image of Bitcoin and hand using laptop.
Cryptocurrencies

Buying Bitcoin? Here's why Block's Jack Dorsey says AI will drive global adoption

Moving forward, Block plans to reinvest some of its monthly profits into Bitcoin.

Read more »

A man holding a mobile phone walks past some buildings
Cryptocurrencies

The Betashares Crypto Innovators ETF (CRYP) is up 37% in a month. Is it too late to buy?

Looking at the CRYP ETF? Here's my take on whether it's too late to buy.

Read more »

Bitcoin ETF digital illustration.
ETFs

Why is the BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF (CRYP) surging on Thursday?

Some massive Bitcoin news is lifting this ETF today.

Read more »

A woman holds a bitcoin token in her hand as she smiles at the camera in the background.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin ETF approved. When is it coming to Australia?

Crypto bulls will be celebrating this milestone moment.

Read more »

person dancing in bitcoin spectacles wearing a gold outfit with hands up.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price rockets to 21-month highs. Here's why

The Bitcoin price is now up more than 174% in 12 months.

Read more »

BTC spelt out on wooden blocks with a red sign going down.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price sinks from 21-month high as ETF rumours swirl

What's going on with this cryptocurrency this week?

Read more »

person dancing in bitcoin spectacles wearing a gold outfit with hands up.
Cryptocurrencies

Up 145% in a year, the Bitcoin price just smashed through 18-month highs!

After a horror year in 2022, the Bitcoin price has come roaring back in 2023.

Read more »

Two investors look at a graphic showing a bitcoin in the centre
Cryptocurrencies

Why did the Bitcoin price just hit a 17-month high?

The long-standing cryptocurrency is finding its feet to reclaim a price not seen since May 2022.

Read more »