52-week low: Broker says the REA (ASX:REA) share price has 30% upside

Could REA be a bargain buy?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The REA share price has tumbled to a new 52-week low on Tuesday amid broad market weakness.
  • This could be a buying opportunity for investors.
  • Goldman Sachs' sees 30% upside for the REA share price from current levels.

The REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) share price is falling again with the market on Tuesday.

In morning trade, the property listings company's shares are down 2.5% to a new 52-week low of $124.51.

Is the REA share price weakness a buying opportunity?

While the weakness in the REA share price in 2022 has been disappointing, it could be a buying opportunity for investors.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have a buy rating and $167.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current REA share price, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

Why is the broker positive on REA?

Goldman Sachs was pleased with the company's performance during the first half of FY 2022.

It commented: "REA also delivered strong 1H22 earnings growth which was broadly in-line with our expectations, but was weaker in the core Australia business. With a strong start to 2H (i.e. listings +14% in Jan), and continued pricing/depth residential tailwinds, we expect solid 2H momentum."

And while the broker suspects that investors may have concerns over REA's ability to build on this next year, its analysts continue to forecast earnings growth in FY 2023.

Goldman explained: "We believe investor focus will now be on the outlook into FY23, given slowing price/depth contributions and a very tough listings comparable. We forecast FY23 EBITDA growth of +7%, assuming (1) -5% listings headwinds (-7% adj. for non-repeat of Fed Election) offset by +6% price and +3% depth/new products (such as Audience Max/Connect) (2) Improving trends in Commercial/Developer given strong expected project commencements; (3) Continued growth at Hometrack; (4) Improved MOC earnings; and (5) International momentum, particularly with smaller India losses."

Goldman is forecasting EBITDA of $682 million in FY 2022, then $729 million in FY 2023 and $818 million in FY 2024.

Based on these forecasts, the broker clearly believes the REA share price is good value at the current level.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A person leans over to whisper a secret to a colleague during a meeting.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cleanaway Waste Management, Aurizon, James Hardie shares

Let's check out some new ratings on three ASX shares.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Broker Notes

Up 1,250% in a year, why 4DMedical shares can keep charging higher

A top analyst forecasts more outperformance from the surging shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter is tipping these 3 ASX materials stocks to return better than 100% each

These undervalued companies could be worth a look.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
Broker Notes

Down 39%, are Treasury Wine shares now a bargain buy?

Two top analysts deliver their verdicts on Treasury Wine’s beaten down shares.

Read more »

A U.S. Naval Ship (DDG) enters Sydney harbour.
Broker Notes

This ASX small-cap defence stock could triple in value: Broker

Recent share price weakness could be a buying opportunity.

Read more »

A boy dressed in a business suit and old-fashioned flying helmet and goggles is lifted by a bunch of red helium balloons over a barren desert landscape.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares lifted to strong buy consensus status for FY27

Looking for investment inspiration in the new financial year?

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

Up 33%, should I still buy Woodside shares today?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Woodside’s surging shares.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

3 ASX All Ords shares to sell this week: Experts

Three analysts explain their sell calls on these ASX All Ords shares.

Read more »