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        <title>Michael Baker, Author at The Motley Fool Australia</title>
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	<title>Michael Baker, Author at The Motley Fool Australia</title>
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                                <title>Which of these 2 high-quality defensive businesses should you buy now?</title>
                <link>https://www.fool.com.au/2015/06/05/which-of-these-2-high-quality-defensive-businesses-should-you-buy-now/</link>
                                <pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2015 00:26:43 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Baker]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Retail Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[⏸️ Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[editor's choice]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://fool.com.au/?p=90190</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Amcor Limited (ASX:AMC) has been a strong performer over the past 12 months with the stock up over 30% and there is no reason why this performance cannot continue.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2015/06/05/which-of-these-2-high-quality-defensive-businesses-should-you-buy-now/">Which of these 2 high-quality defensive businesses should you buy now?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.fool.com.au">The Motley Fool Australia</a>.</p>
]]></description>
                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="634" height="173" src="https://www.fool.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/TMF_HoldingCo_Logo_Primary_Magenta_RoyalPurple.svg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="a woman" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async"><p>Global packaging companyÂ <b>Amcor</b><b>Â Limited</b>Â (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.fool.com.au/tickers/asx-amc/">ASX:Â AMC</a>)Â and retail behemothÂ <b>Woolworths Limited</b>Â (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.fool.com.au/tickers/asx-wow/">ASX:Â WOW</a>) both cater to the fast-moving consumer goods industry,Â but one has a better outlook than the other.</p>
<p>Here are four reasons why I likeÂ AmcorÂ right now.</p>
<ol>
<li><b></b><b>International exposure</b></li>
</ol>
<p>Amcor generates 95% of itsÂ revenuesÂ outside Australia. The company'sÂ client base comprisesÂ manyÂ of the major multinational consumer products companies,Â soÂ when they move into new, emerging markets,Â Amcor followsÂ them. ThisÂ providesÂ investors withÂ additionalÂ exposure to the huge growth in the middle class across AsiaÂ and South America.</p>
<p>Of Amcor's revenues,Â 30% are derived from emerging markets, the sweet spot as far as growth in packaging use goes.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="WACImage SCX126909566 aligncenter" src="https://word-edit.officeapps.live.com/we/ResReader.ashx?v=00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000014&amp;n=E2o1.img&amp;rndm=20793cd7-7b75-4321-99e7-741b6b531d47&amp;WOPIsrc=https%3A%2F%2Foutlook%2Eoffice365%2Ecom%3A443%2Fowa%2F6bbddb02%2D33a8%2D4d57%2D95ec%2D084b8d18fd33%2540fool%2Ecom%2Eau%2Fwopi%2Ffiles%2F%40%2Fowaatt%3Fowaatt%3DMlMtMS01LTIxLTI0NDc4NDg4MjgtMTMxMDczMTQ0Ny0xNjQxMzA0NTU3LTI5NDcyMjc27uRyUDxt0ggBAQEBAA%253d%253d%26postmessageorigin%3Dhttps%253a%252f%252foutlook%2Eoffice365%2Ecom%253a443&amp;access_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJSUzI1NiIsIng1dCI6IkkzTDVfM3pTRVZPT3RmQmZFTGpXRmMwaFNwWSJ9%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%2EpEmSzCfwACkGx%5F6%5FFSv%2DHaK3PttoyHFFat%2DEe8W9j2ewd3iFPlqU1sq%2DedNcKoIZ2m6bZ9zmGbKhvzPJJ1xZLfijofCR%2DLolK43lV8lQHgaQaaLFdFtwm4Afyp4sxil4eXwcir0WemEA%2DzWBgRJL0dt6ALiHyxsvmEJQp2yrqH3YhHc8ZlxxZZcVOFXTMiIS%2DRL%2DgfCBo74lvGp8Mmo4VBchPl%2DVG6Cx%5FjAueXHiJk8hcmNAbKpGC%2Di1r9fs%2Dh7HtGC%2DbEA01OygZN8%2DsIkCGZDh7htUp2ZPLj2SELE4e84iEsNCQhJlmVGVfvYwrd3q47VQ%5FRt0FJclW9VEv9sjIQ&amp;access_token_ttl=0&amp;usid=12e22d15-2130-4f44-9913-0c7523bfa4b5&amp;build=16.0.3930.1018&amp;waccluster=SG1B" alt="Image" width="717" height="435">Source: Company reports</p>
<ol start="2">
<li><b></b><b>Strong returns and cash flow</b></li>
</ol>
<p>InÂ FY14 Amcor reported strong returns with aÂ return on equity (ROE)Â of just over 24% and analysts forecast this to move beyond 30% over the next few years. It also generated free cash flowÂ postÂ dividends of over $300 million, providing management with the flexibility to continue to buy back its own shares.</p>
<ol start="3">
<li><b></b><b>High barriers to entry with strong market positions</b></li>
</ol>
<p>Amcor's scale allows it to fractionalise costs across a large asset base, making it extremely difficult and costly for competitors to replicate.Â Amcor is the global leader in many of its key product segments and it spends a lot of moneyÂ on research and developmentÂ to maintain its leadership position.</p>
<ol start="4">
<li><b></b><b>Defensive end markets</b></li>
</ol>
<p>Almost all of Amcor's revenues are generated from the highly defensive and stable end markets of food, beverage, healthcare, home and personal care and tobacco packaging industries.Â These industries tend to be far lessÂ affected byÂ economic volatility than most other industries.</p>
<p>In contrast, there are four reasons why I won't be rushing to buyÂ Woolworths<b>Â </b>right now.</p>
<ol>
<li><b></b><b>Downgrade cycle</b></li>
</ol>
<p>As we see time and time again, the first downgrade by a company in transition is usuallyÂ notÂ the last. RememberÂ <b>Coca-ColaÂ </b><b>Amatil</b><b>Â Limited</b>? Given the size and nature of this business, a small downgrade is quite meaningful andÂ any future downgrades are not currently priced in by the market.</p>
<ol start="2">
<li><b></b><b>Management turnover</b></li>
</ol>
<p>This is a qualitative factor but it can sometimes tell investors a lot about the issues facing a company. Woolworths has recently experienced high levels of turnover amongst its senior management â this is never a good sign.</p>
<ol start="3">
<li><b></b><b>The "M" word</b></li>
</ol>
<p>Everyone knowsÂ the issues facing Masters right now and it's hard to see what will turnÂ itsÂ performance around. Let's face it, WoolworthsÂ is aÂ world-class supermarket operator. Unfortunately,Â itsÂ track record outside of food and grocery is less than stellar…does anyone rememberÂ itsÂ disastrous ownership ofÂ <b>Dick Smith Holdings Limited</b><b>?</b>Â It tookÂ <b>Wesfarmers Ltd</b>Â (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.fool.com.au/tickers/asx-wes/">ASX: WES</a>) over a decade to getÂ BunningsÂ up and running profitably and it had extremely limited competition at the time. I am somewhat surprisedÂ WoolworthsÂ did not decide to test theÂ MastersÂ format first because now it appearsÂ Masters may be "too big to fail".</p>
<ol start="4">
<li><b></b><b>Discount disruptors</b></li>
</ol>
<p>The discount supermarket chainÂ AldiÂ has an excellent track record in disrupting incumbents in overseas markets. Why will it be any different in Australia?Â A good case study comes from Europe andÂ the French supermarket chainÂ <b>Carrefour SA</b>. It was generating EBIT margins of 3.9% (well belowÂ Woolworths' food,Â groceryÂ andÂ liquorÂ EBIT margins of 6.98% in FY14!) prior to the entry ofÂ AldiÂ and now the margin sits at 2.9%. This may not seem like much,Â but to a business the size of Carrefour, it has dramatically impacted earnings. I can only imagine whatÂ AldiÂ management must be thinking when they see Woolworths'Â EBIT margins!</p>
<p><strong>Foolish takeaway</strong></p>
<p>Don't get me wrong,Â WoolworthsÂ is a good supermarket operator;Â however,Â in my view I think its shares may tread water until some ofÂ theseÂ issues are resolved. In contrast, Amcor has numerous appealing characteristics.Â Its shares look to be a good place to hide during times of market volatilityÂ and they shouldÂ also benefit when markets are doing well given its exposure to growth markets.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2015/06/05/which-of-these-2-high-quality-defensive-businesses-should-you-buy-now/">Which of these 2 high-quality defensive businesses should you buy now?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.fool.com.au">The Motley Fool Australia</a>.</p>
<div style="background-color:#ffffff;width:100%;padding:20px 0px 20px 0px;margin:20px 0px 20px 0px;border-top:0px solid #dddddd;border-right:0px solid #dddddd;border-bottom:0px solid #dddddd;border-left:0px solid #dddddd;border-radius:0px;box-shadow:none" class="wp-block-custom-block-collection-presentational-card">




<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-should-you-invest-1-000-in-ticker-companyname-right-now">Should you invest $1,000 in Amcor Plc right now?</h2>



<p>Before you buy Amcor Plc shares, consider this:</p>



<p>Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the <strong>5 best stocks</strong> for investors to buy right now… and Amcor Plc wasn't one of them.</p>



<p>The online investing service he's run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*</p>



<p>And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…</p>



<div class="wp-block-custom-block-collection-cta-button"><a href="https://www.fool.com.au/free-stock-report/5-stocks-better-than-short-ecap/?source=iauspp7410000132&amp;adname=AU_SA_5stocksbetterthan_5stocksbetterthan_pitch-1&amp;placement=pitch" style="background-color:#0095c8;width:fit-content;display:inline-flex;cursor:pointer;justify-content:center;align-items:center;transition:all 0.3s ease;border-width:0px;border-style:solid;border-color:#000000;border-top-left-radius:4px;border-top-right-radius:4px;border-bottom-right-radius:4px;border-bottom-left-radius:4px;--hover-background-color:#006688;--pressed-background-color:#006688;padding-top:12px;padding-right:24px;padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:24px;margin-top:0px;margin-right:auto;margin-bottom:12px;margin-left:0px" class="custom-cta-button" data-hover-background-color="#006688" data-pressed-background-color="#006688">
<p class="has-white-color has-text-color" style="margin-bottom:0px;padding-bottom:0px;font-style:normal;font-weight:600">See the 5 Stocks</p>
</a></div>



<p class="has-text-color has-p-small-font-size" style="color:#767676">* Returns as of 20 Feb 2026</p>







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</div><p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/26/nervous-investors-turn-to-asx-200-defensives-as-global-energy-shock-drags-on/">Nervous investors turn to ASX 200 defensives as global energy shock drags on</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/23/5-asx-dividend-shares-id-buy-for-a-second-income/">5 ASX dividend shares I'd buy for a second income</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/22/should-you-buy-woolworths-shares-for-the-steady-dividends/">Should you buy Woolworths shares for the 'steady dividends'?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/22/stagflation-how-to-position-an-asx-stock-portfolio/">Stagflation: How to position an ASX stock portfolio</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/22/how-to-build-a-second-income-from-asx-shares-without-taking-big-risks/">How to build a second income from ASX shares without taking big risks</a></li></ul><em><i>Motley Fool contributor Michael Baker own</i><i>s</i><i>Â shares inÂ </i><i>Amcor</i><i>Â Limited</i><i>.Â </i><i>Â </i>The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a <a href="https://fool.com.au/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">diverse range of insights</a> makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a <a href="https://fool.com.au/fool-com-au-disclosure-policy/">disclosure policy</a>. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.</em>]]></content:encoded>
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                            <item>
                                <title>Was the market too tough on ResMed Inc. (CHESS)? </title>
                <link>https://www.fool.com.au/2015/05/27/was-the-market-too-tough-on-resmed-inc-chess/</link>
                                <pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2015 22:49:11 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Baker]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Healthcare Shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[⏸️ Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[editor's choice]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://fool.com.au/?p=89592</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p> A harsh reaction to troubles at ResMed Inc. (CHESS) (ASX:RMD) means the shares are on sale. Should you buy?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2015/05/27/was-the-market-too-tough-on-resmed-inc-chess/">Was the market too tough on ResMed Inc. (CHESS)? </a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.fool.com.au">The Motley Fool Australia</a>.</p>
]]></description>
                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="634" height="173" src="https://www.fool.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/TMF_HoldingCo_Logo_Primary_Magenta_RoyalPurple.svg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="a woman" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async"><p>Markets tend to be efficient over the long term however in the short term, this is not necessarily the case.Â InvestorsÂ often overreact to bad news and treat temporary setbacks as permanent.</p>
<p>A company recently in the cross-hairs of investor fearÂ isÂ <b>ResMed</b><b>Â Inc. (CHESS)</b>Â (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.fool.com.au/tickers/asx-rmd/">ASX: RMD</a>).Â ResMedÂ is a leading global supplier of sleepÂ apneaÂ products, including flow generators and associated masks. The company has been developing devices for sleep-disordered breathing, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and other chronic diseases for more than 25 years.</p>
<p>The companyÂ recentlyÂ announcedÂ thatÂ clinical trials of a special form of sleep therapy designed for patients who suffer from both heart failure and central sleepÂ apneaÂ failed to protect those patients from death or complications associated with heart failure. The share price reaction was savage,Â withÂ a fall of 15%, wipingÂ $2.1 billion offÂ ResMed'sÂ market capitalisation.</p>
<p>The disappointing results from the clinical trialsÂ relate to a segment of the flow generatorÂ products,Â thatÂ accountsÂ for less than 7% of group revenues. Further, the specific issues found in the clinical trials relate to only 25% of these flow generators. In other words, the impact toÂ ResMed'sÂ revenuesÂ is less thanÂ 2% and less than 1% to net profit. A 15% drop in the share price would therefore suggest investors may not have been acting rationally in response to this announcement.</p>
<p>A goodÂ comparison isÂ <b>Cochlear Limited</b>Â (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.fool.com.au/tickers/asx-coh/">ASX: COH</a>). In 2011 the company announced a product recall of one ofÂ itsÂ key cochlear implants due to implant failure. This was a major setback for the company asÂ the product was absolutely core toÂ itsÂ business. The resulting 37% share price fall wiped around $1.6 billion offÂ Cochlear'sÂ market cap.</p>
<p>However,Â unlikeÂ ResMed, the announcement had serious implications forÂ Cochlear'sÂ profits. In FY2011, the year prior to the product recall, Cochlear made a net profit of $180Â million. In FY2012, the year of the product recall, the company made just $57Â millionÂ inÂ net profit. In fact Cochlear's earnings are still only approximately half those posted prior to the recall and yet the share price recently hit an all time high. Given the announcement byÂ ResMedÂ will not materially impact earnings, I would expectÂ its share price to alsoÂ recover.</p>
<p><strong>Foolish Takeaway</strong></p>
<p>Warren BuffettÂ once said that it is far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.Â ResMedÂ operates in a very attractive industry.Â SleepÂ apneaÂ is a growing market with an estimated 26%Â of people aged between 30 and 70 affected by the disorder andÂ ResMedÂ contends that only a small proportion of sufferers are currently diagnosed.</p>
<p>The business has a wonderful track record ofÂ growingÂ earnings,Â generates a high level of freeÂ cashflow, is debt-free and applies surplus cash to buying back its own shares. Although disappointing, it would appear as thoughÂ theÂ announcement will have very little impact onÂ ResMed'sÂ near term earnings yet the share price reaction would imply otherwise. SometimesÂ the marketÂ provides investors with an opportunity to buy a wonderful business at a fair price andÂ we may be seeing that now.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2015/05/27/was-the-market-too-tough-on-resmed-inc-chess/">Was the market too tough onÂ ResMedÂ Inc. (CHESS)?Â </a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.fool.com.au">The Motley Fool Australia</a>.</p>
<div style="background-color:#ffffff;width:100%;padding:20px 0px 20px 0px;margin:20px 0px 20px 0px;border-top:0px solid #dddddd;border-right:0px solid #dddddd;border-bottom:0px solid #dddddd;border-left:0px solid #dddddd;border-radius:0px;box-shadow:none" class="wp-block-custom-block-collection-presentational-card">




<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-should-you-invest-1-000-in-ticker-companyname-right-now">Should you invest $1,000 in Cochlear right now?</h2>



<p>Before you buy Cochlear shares, consider this:</p>



<p>Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the <strong>5 best stocks</strong> for investors to buy right now… and Cochlear wasn't one of them.</p>



<p>The online investing service he's run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*</p>



<p>And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…</p>



<div class="wp-block-custom-block-collection-cta-button"><a href="https://www.fool.com.au/free-stock-report/5-stocks-better-than-short-ecap/?source=iauspp7410000132&amp;adname=AU_SA_5stocksbetterthan_5stocksbetterthan_pitch-1&amp;placement=pitch" style="background-color:#0095c8;width:fit-content;display:inline-flex;cursor:pointer;justify-content:center;align-items:center;transition:all 0.3s ease;border-width:0px;border-style:solid;border-color:#000000;border-top-left-radius:4px;border-top-right-radius:4px;border-bottom-right-radius:4px;border-bottom-left-radius:4px;--hover-background-color:#006688;--pressed-background-color:#006688;padding-top:12px;padding-right:24px;padding-bottom:12px;padding-left:24px;margin-top:0px;margin-right:auto;margin-bottom:12px;margin-left:0px" class="custom-cta-button" data-hover-background-color="#006688" data-pressed-background-color="#006688">
<p class="has-white-color has-text-color" style="margin-bottom:0px;padding-bottom:0px;font-style:normal;font-weight:600">See the 5 Stocks</p>
</a></div>



<p class="has-text-color has-p-small-font-size" style="color:#767676">* Returns as of 20 Feb 2026</p>







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</div><p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/26/down-43-this-week-are-cochlear-shares-now-the-best-bargain-buy-of-the-year/">Down 43% this week, are Cochlear shares now the best bargain buy of the year?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/26/how-much-is-needed-in-an-smsf-to-target-a-6166-monthly-passive-income/">How much is needed in an SMSF to target a $6,166 monthly passive income?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/25/after-falling-43-in-a-week-are-cochlear-shares-now-a-buy/">After falling 43% in a week, are Cochlear shares now a buy?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/25/buy-hold-sell-cochlear-csl-and-droneshield-shares/">Buy, hold, sell: Cochlear, CSL, and DroneShield shares</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.fool.com.au/2026/04/24/how-high-could-cochlear-shares-bounce-back-brokers-disagree/">How high could Cochlear shares bounce back? Brokers disagree</a></li></ul><em> Motley Fool contributor Michael Baker owns shares in ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a <a href="https://fool.com.au/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">diverse range of insights</a> makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a <a href="https://fool.com.au/fool-com-au-disclosure-policy/">disclosure policy</a>. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.</em>]]></content:encoded>
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