Why Coles shares could be a smart buy in an uncertain market

Defensive demand, income potential, and a familiar brand make this ASX share worth considering in a noisy market.

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Uncertain markets can make investors overthink things.

Inflation, interest rates, consumer pressure, and global risks all create noise. But sometimes the best ASX shares to own are the ones with simple, durable demand behind them.

That is why I think Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares could be a smart buy today.

Woman chooses vegetables for dinner, smiling and looking at camera.

Image source: Getty Images

A business people keep using

Coles is not an exciting growth stock. It sells groceries, household products, and everyday essentials through one of Australia's largest supermarket networks.

But I think that is why it can be useful in a portfolio.

People still need food, cleaning products, toiletries, baby items, pet food, and other staples in almost every economic environment. Shoppers may become more price-conscious, swap brands, or hunt for specials, but grocery demand remains far more reliable than many discretionary categories.

That gives Coles a defensive quality that can be valuable when the broader market is unsettled.

The value focus helps

Cost-of-living pressure is still shaping household behaviour.

I think that plays into the hands of supermarkets that can offer convenience, scale, loyalty programs, private-label products, and regular promotions.

Coles has the size to compete hard on price while still investing in stores, online shopping, supply chain improvements, and customer data.

The supermarket sector is not easy. Competition from Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW), Aldi, Costco, and independent operators remains intense. Coles also needs to manage wage costs, supplier relationships, logistics, and scrutiny over grocery prices.

But I think a strong supermarket business can still be a very useful long-term holding when managed well.

Income plus resilience

Coles also has appeal as an income share.

Its dividend yield may not be the highest on the ASX, but I think the quality of the earnings base counts for a lot.

A lower-risk dividend from a defensive business can be more attractive than a larger yield from a company with more cyclical earnings.

For investors looking for passive income, Coles could provide regular dividends backed by a business that has a clear role in everyday Australian life.

There is also room for capital growth if the company can keep improving margins, growing online sales, lifting efficiency, and strengthening customer loyalty over time.

A share for the quieter part of a portfolio

I would not buy Coles shares expecting explosive returns.

That is not the point. I would buy it because it can add balance to a portfolio that may already have banks, miners, technology shares, and higher-risk growth stocks.

When markets are strong, Coles may not always lead the way. But when investors become more cautious, businesses with defensive earnings and reliable demand can become more appealing.

That kind of stability can be underrated.

Foolish takeaway

Coles is the type of ASX share that can look a little ordinary at first glance. But ordinary businesses can be very useful when they sell products people need every week.

The supermarket sector will always have competition, cost pressure, and political attention. Those risks should be taken seriously.

Even so, I think Coles has enough scale, brand strength, and defensive demand to make it a strong candidate for long-term investors.

In a market full of uncertainty, a dependable grocery business may be just the sort of share worth owning.

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Woolworths Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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