Goodman shares hit 52-week low. Can this ASX 200 stock make a comeback?

Goodman shares hit a multi-year low as selling pressure builds.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price is heading south on Monday, slipping to a fresh 52-week low.

At the time of writing, Goodman shares are down 1.26% to $25.18. Earlier in the session, the stock fell as low as $24.56, marking its lowest level since February 2023.

The decline means Goodman shares are now down around 19% in 2026.

Piggy bank sinking in water, symbolising a record low share price.

Image source: Getty Images

Selling pressure pushes shares to multi-year lows

The recent move lower continues a clear downtrend that has been building over the past year.

Goodman shares have been making lower highs and lower lows, which is typically a sign that sellers remain in control. The break below the $25 level is notable, as this had previously acted as a support zone.

Momentum indicators also remain weak. The relative strength index (RSI) has been sitting in the lower range, suggesting limited buying interest. At the same time, the price is tracking near the lower Bollinger Band, reflecting sustained downward pressure rather than a short-term dip.

Unless the stock can reclaim previous support levels, the trend may remain under pressure in the near term.

Interest rates and property cycle remain key factors

One of the biggest influences on Goodman's share price is the interest rate outlook.

As a global industrial property group, Goodman is exposed to funding costs and asset valuations. Higher interest rates can weigh on both, making future developments less attractive and compressing valuation multiples.

Recent market expectations indicate that rate cuts may take longer than previously hoped. This has weighed on real estate stocks across the sector, including Goodman.

There are also broader concerns around the property cycle. Slower development activity and more cautious capital deployment across the sector are likely to impact near-term earnings growth.

Long-term position still strong

Despite the recent weakness, Goodman's core business remains unchanged.

The company continues to focus on logistics facilities and data centres across major global cities. These assets are tied to long-term trends such as e-commerce growth, supply chain modernisation, and rising demand for data infrastructure.

Data centres are now a significant part of Goodman's development pipeline, reflecting strong demand from cloud providers and artificial intelligence workloads.

The company also benefits from high-quality locations and long-term customer relationships, which have previously supported occupancy and rental growth.

Foolish Takeaway

Goodman shares are clearly under pressure, with the stock now trading at multi-year lows and down around 19% this year.

In the short term, interest rates and market sentiment are likely to remain key drivers.

However, the company's exposure to logistics and data infrastructure continues to support its longer-term outlook.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Real Estate Shares

Image of a shopping centre.
Real Estate Shares

Stockland shares are sinking 4%. Is this $3.8 million CEO sale a warning sign?

A large CEO sale has put this ASX stock in focus.

Read more »

Model of house and key on sandy beach with sea and sky in the background.
Real Estate Shares

Home values decline for a 5th straight month – what does it mean for ASX real estate shares?

Here's what investors need to know.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Real Estate Shares

Winton Land shares suspended following board resignations

Winton Land shares have been suspended following board resignations and a shortfall in independent directors.

Read more »

Elderly couple cosily walking together outside.
Real Estate Shares

Summerset Group: HY26 profit up 92% as sales hit record high

Summerset Group delivered record HY26 profit and sales, with a new dividend policy and growth in both NZ and Australia.

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
Real Estate Shares

Ingenia Communities proposes to acquire Peet, boosting growth

Ingenia Communities aims to acquire Peet, boosting its housing pipeline and strengthening its national platform.

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
Real Estate Shares

Peet FY26 earnings: Profit and dividend surge on record sales

Peet achieved record FY26 results with earnings and dividends up sharply, underpinned by strong project sales and a robust development…

Read more »

Mini house on a laptop.
Earnings Results

Cedar Woods reports record earnings and targets 15% FY27 profit growth

Cedar Woods reported record FY26 profit and dividends, strong presales, and is targeting 15% NPAT growth in FY27.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
Real Estate Shares

GDI Property Group launches 5% buyback driven by liquidity boost

GDI Property Group has announced a buyback of up to 5% of its stapled securities, supported by stronger liquidity and…

Read more »