Expert says this ASX mining stock could rise almost 30%

Let's see which miner is being tipped as a buy for investors right now.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Now could be the time to buy the ASX mining stock in this article.

That's the view of analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), which are forecasting big potential returns for investors.

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.

Image source: Getty Images

Which ASX mining stock?

The mining stock that the broker is feeling positive about right now is 29Metals Ltd (ASX: 29M).

It owns a portfolio of copper-focused assets located in Australia and Chile. This includes the Golden Grove copper/zinc/lead/gold/silver mine in Western Australia, Capricorn Copper in Queensland, and the Redhill exploration project in Chile.

Macquarie notes that the company recently released its quarterly update. It was pleased with 29Metals' performance during the three months, highlighting that production was in line and its costs were lower than expectations. It said:

2QCY25 quarterly production of 5.6kt was in line with Visible Alpha (VA) and Zn/Au/Ag production was 25%/7%/1% lower.

Raw operating costs of A$98.1m were 18%/20% lower than VA/MQe driven by lower mining, processing, and TCRC costs at Golden Grove. QoQ mining costs reduced from A$63.1m to A$60.4m, processing costs from A$27.4m to A$24.3m, and TCRC from A$13.4m to A$9.3m. AISC increased QoQ from US$2.07/lb to A$3.29/lb but this was largely driven by lower byproducts (~A$26m) and lower stockpile movement credits (~A$14m).

And while it acknowledges that a strong second half will be required to meet some guidance, it remains very positive and continues to see significant value in the ASX mining stock at current levels.

Big return potential

The note reveals that Macquarie has maintained its outperform rating and 40 cents price target on 29Metals' shares.

Based on its current share price of 31 cents, this implies potential upside of 29% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its outperform rating and potential catalysts, the broker said:

Maintain Outperform: 29M has had soft 1H, and requires a strong 2H to meet the mid-point of guidance (expected to be driven by a ramp up of Xantho Extended ore tonnes), nevertheless we see value in the name as it is trading at a cheap valuation at ~3.7x EV/Ebitda in CY25e (3.2x at spot prices).

Catalysts: Continued operational improvements at Golden Grove (ramp up of Xantho Extended ore tonnes in 2HCY25), Capricorn TSF3 application (3QCY25), and first ore from GV (2HCY26).

All in all, Macquarie appears to believe this could make this ASX mining stock one to consider if you are looking for exposure to this side of the market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Hammer next to broken piggy bank.
Materials Shares

Why are Lynas shares getting hammered on Wednesday?

Investors are punishing Lynas Rare Earths shares today. But why.

Read more »

An engineer takes a break on a staircase and looks out over a huge open pit coal mine as the sun rises in the background.
Materials Shares

BHP shares soared 62% in FY26. Can they keep climbing?

The mining giant surged 62%. Can it keep going?

Read more »

A smiling businessman sits at a desk with bags of money, indicating a share price rise after funding has been approved
Materials Shares

Fletcher Building secures $60m for local cement production in NZ

Fletcher Building struck a $60m government deal to secure New Zealand’s only cement plant until 2040 and drive further decarbonisation.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Materials Shares

What is Morgan's updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?

Is there any more upside for these blue-chips?

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Materials Shares

PLS shares are down 28%. Are they a buy, hold, or sell?

Analysts reveal whether PLS shares remain a buy after recent weakness.

Read more »

A miniature moulded model of a man bent over with a pick stands behind a sign that has lithium's scientific abbreviation 'Li', with the word lithium underneath it against a sparse bland background.
Materials Shares

Lithium prices are cooling. Here's what that means for these ASX lithium shares

Lithium prices have cooled sharply after a stellar run. Here is what that means for these ASX lithium shares.

Read more »

Lithium mine drilling machines.
Materials Shares

Why record production could not save this ASX lithium stock today

This ASX lithium stock is falling despite another strong quarter.

Read more »

One female and two male construction workers laugh on site.
Materials Shares

Why are Fletcher Building shares flying 7% higher today?

Find out what happened, and if the share price can keep climbing higher.

Read more »