Is now the time to cash in some gains on Qantas shares?

After a stellar year of gains, are Qantas shares flying into headwinds?

| More on:
Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) shares are cruising in the green today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) airline closed yesterday trading for $8.12. In early afternoon trade on Tuesday, shares are changing hands for $8.145 apiece, up 0.3%.

As you can see on the chart below, this sees the airline stock up more than 69% since this time last year.

That's a very tidy gain for shareholders.

But with the airline potentially facing some headwinds ahead, Bell Potter Securities' Christopher Watt (courtesy of The Bull) believes now is a good time to take some of those profits off the table.

Time to sell those soaring Qantas shares?

Explaining his sell rating on Qantas shares, Watt said:

The company posted statutory profit after tax of $1.25 billion in fiscal year 2024, down 28% on the prior corresponding period. The operating margin was 10.4% in fiscal year 2024 compared with 13.5% in fiscal year 2023. Net debt of $4.1 billion was within the target range.

The airline business, by its very nature, can be volatile as its exposed to unpredictable external and economic events. Qantas shares have risen from $5.78 on August 5 to trade at $7.925 on October 24. Investors may want to consider cashing in some gains at these levels.

At the current $8.145 a share, Qantas stock is up 2.8% since 24 October, upping the gains for investors who opt to cash in some of those shares today.

What's been happening with the ASX 200 airline?

Qantas reported its full year FY 2024 results on 29 August.

Although revenue was up 10.7% from FY 2023 to $21.9 billion, slumping earnings were driven by its Qantas Domestic and Qantas International businesses.

Earnings (before interest and tax) fell 16% to $1.06 billion for Qantas Domestic while Qantas International saw earnings decline by 39% to $556 million. The hit to earnings was said to be caused by increased market capacity and decreasing revenue from the airline's freight business.

On the plus side for Qantas shares, its Jetstar Group segment reported a 23% increase in underlying earnings to $497 million, while Qantas Loyalty earnings of $511 million were up 13% year on year.

"Our strong financial performance and balance sheet will allow us to continue to invest in our largest ever fleet renewal program, which will benefit our customers and people, as well as delivering shareholder returns," Qantas CEO Vanessa Hudson said at the time.

Qantas shares closed up 0.8% on the day.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Happy woman trying to close suitcase.
Share Gainers

Why is the Web Travel share price rocketing 19% on Monday?

Web Travel shares are soaring 19% on Monday. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks shocked as she drinks a coffee while reading the paper.
Share Fallers

Why is the Web Travel share price crashing 41% on Friday?

ASX investors are pummelling Web Travel shares today. But why?

Read more »

Two people lazing in deck chairs on a beautiful sandy beach throw their hands up in the air.
Travel Shares

Is the Qantas share price a buy for its 5% dividend yield?

Is Qantas’ dividend about to fly higher?

Read more »

A jet plane takes off.
Travel Shares

Why this ASX travel share is flying high

If travel demand holds up, brokers think there's more to come.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Travel Shares

Prediction: In 12 months the Qantas share price and dividend could turn $10,000 into…

I think the combination of earnings momentum and income could still deliver solid returns over the next year.

Read more »

A woman looks up at a plane flying in the sky with arms outstretched as the Flight Centre share price surges
Travel Shares

3 reasons I would buy Qantas shares in February

Qantas has rebuilt profitability and flexibility faster than many expected.

Read more »

A woman stands on a runway with her arms outstretched in excitement with a plane in the air having taken off.
Travel Shares

Which airline could deliver almost 25% returns? See what the analysts say

Jarden has run the ruler over the aviation sector and likes what it sees.

Read more »

A smiling woman in a hat holding a ticket takes selfie inside a Qantas plane next to the window.
Travel Shares

$10,000 invested in Qantas shares two years ago is now worth…

Atop share price gains, 2025 also saw the return of the Qantas dividend.

Read more »