Wheat woes: Why the Graincorp share price is charging 8% to the upside today

Russia's suspension of a major grain export deal has wheat prices soaring.

| More on:
a wheat farmer stands with his arms crossed in a paddock of wheat ready for harvest with his header harvesting equipment operating in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Graincorp share price is rocketing higher on Monday alongside wheat futures
  • The agricultural commodity's value is surging after Russia pulled out of the Black Sea grain deal over the weekend
  • The move could reduce supply of the global staple food

The Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price is taking off on Monday amid a spike in wheat prices.

Chicago wheat futures have lifted more than 5% today after Russia exited the Black Sea grain deal over the weekend.

And the Graincorp share price is along for the ride. The ASX agriculture company's bottom line is closely tied to grain prices, meaning an increase in the price of wheat could boost profits.

The stock is up 7.99% right now, trading at $8.38. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lifted 1.07%.

Let's take a closer look at what might be bolstering the Graincorp share price on Monday.

Russia suspends Black Sea grain deal

The Graincorp share price is gaining as news Russia has backed out of a United Nations-brokered trade deal appears to drive wheat prices higher.

The agreement was designed to allow Ukraine to export grain from the Black Sea without risking attacks on merchant ships, the Guardian reports. Russia could also export food and fertiliser under the deal.

However, Russia ditched the agreement following a drone attack on Sevastopol, its Black Sea naval base. The nation attributed the action to Ukraine.

The Russian defence ministry said, via Russian news outlet Tass, the attack targeted the nation's Black Sea Fleet and other ships involved with the grain corridor. It also said a drone might have been launched from a vessel carrying Ukrainian agricultural production.  

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy called on the UN and G20 to respond to Russia's exit from the deal and the establishment of what he called a "blockade" in the grain corridor, saying:

This is an absolutely transparent intention of Russia to return the threat of large-scale famine to Africa and Asia.

Graincorp share price soars alongside wheat prices

If the Graincorp share price's current gains hold out until close, the stock will post its second-largest single-session gain of the last 12 months.

Today's lift hasn't proven enough to pull the agriculture share back into the longer-term green, however. It has dumped nearly 20% over the last six months.

That's despite the company upgrading its guidance in August.

Graincorp expects to declare between $680 million and $730 million of underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the financial year 2022. It will release its full year earnings on 16 November.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Two colleagues at work looking at a tablet and smiling at a rising share price.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buy this top ASX 200 stock for an 18% gain and 4% dividend yield

Bell Potter has resumed coverage on this stock and is feeling very positive.

Read more »

footwear asx share price on watch represented by look holding shoe and looking intently
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Does this ASX 300 retail stock really have a 7.6% dividend yield right now?

Is a 7.67% dividend yield too good to be true?

Read more »

A person eats a meat pie on the beach... what's more Australian than that?
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Which ASX shares could be next on the menu for Ozempic?

This broker believes the market for weight-loss drugs could grow tenfold. What could it consume on its way up?

Read more »

Young couple having pizza on lunch break at workplace.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Could the 'clear path to recovery' for Domino's shares be in doubt?

Domino’s has some ambitious growth targets, but are they achievable?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths shares hit headlines amid Banducci's jail warning

The outgoing Woolworths CEO is being made to work for his retirement at today's Senate inquiry.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Wesfarmers share price drops 1% amid accusations of 'mafia-like' behaviour

Wesfarmers shares are having a rude return to trading this Monday.

Read more »

A team in a corporate office shares a pizza while standing around a table chatting about the Domino's share price and Pizza Hut's threat to the business
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What's Don's plan to put Domino's shares back together again?

Domino's has a new growth strategy, but are investors listening?

Read more »

Young man sitting at a table in front of a row of pokie machines staring intently at a laptop. looking at the Crown Resorts share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Star Entertainment share price tumbles alongside sinking revenues

ASX 200 investors are pressuring the Star Entertainment share price on Friday.

Read more »