Why is the CBA share price outpacing the ASX 200 in 2022?

ASX financial shares are among the few that could directly benefit from rising interest rates.

| More on:
A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank representing bank dividends and in particular the CBA dividend

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The CBA share price continues to outperform the ASX 200 this year 
  • The big bank could see more net interest income from a higher interest rate environment 
  • CommBank could face headwinds if higher rates reduce its loan book growth 

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) may not be delivering the best returns of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) banks in 2022, but it’s certainly outpacing the benchmark index itself.

The CBA share price is following the bulk of the market lower today, down 1.6% to $101 per share in late morning trade. This comes on the back of another day of heavy selling in US markets yesterday (overnight Aussie time), with the S&P 500 closing down 3.2%.

Today’s selling also sees the CBA share price dip into the red for the calendar year, down 1.1%.

While that’s not the result investors would like to see, it’s well ahead of the 8.3% year-to-date loss posted by the ASX 200. And let’s not forget that CommBank also paid out a $1.75 fully franked interim dividend on 30 March.

So why is the big bank outpacing the index?

Rising rates offering tailwinds to financial shares

One of the biggest factors dragging on ASX shares is the realisation that inflation around the Western world is above central banks’ target zones, ushering in a long dormant scenario of rising interest rates.

Higher rates increase the costs of tomorrow’s money. And the spectre of a series of rate hikes has hit high growth tech share the hardest. The S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX), for example, is down 33% in 2022.

But the CBA share price has weathered the storm a lot better, alongside most financials. While still down for the year, the S&P/ASX 200 Financials (ASX: XFJ) has only lost 2.7%.

Part of that resilience is that financial shares are among the few sectors that can benefit from higher interest rates.

“Banks and financials tend to perform well in rate hike cycles, this is because higher interest rates are generally beneficial to banks since they allow them to earn more net interest income,” said eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert.

EY’s banking and capital markets leader, Tim Dring also pointed to higher rates offering a lift to the CBA share price and other bank shares:

While margin compression is likely to continue in the short term, the rising interest rate cycle should ease NIM [net interest margin] pressures and lead to improved profitability for the banks over the medium term.

But it’s not all smooth sailing ahead for the banks. “Ongoing economic risks point to continued uncertainty for the banking sector’s outlook,” Dring added.

And while higher rates do increase the banks’ lending margins, they could also result in an increase in bad debts and slower loan growth moving forward.

CBA share price snapshot

Though it’s just dipped into the red for 2022, the CBA share price remains up 6.2% over the past 12 months. That compares to a 2.9% loss posted by the ASX 200 over that same period.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Can investors bank on the NAB share price in July?

After a tough June, we consider if things can get better for the big four ASX bank.

Read more »

a group of people stand examining a large glowing cystral ball held in the hands of one of the group members while the others regard it with various expressions of wonder, curiousity and scepticism.
Bank Shares

What’s in store for the ANZ share price in July?

Investors will be hoping for a change in fortune for this ASX bank share.

Read more »

An attractive woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates the outlook in July for the Macquarie share price
Bank Shares

What’s the outlook for the Macquarie share price in July?

The Macquarie share price has been on a bumpy ride in 2022, trading 18% down year to date.

Read more »

Four businessmen in suits pose together in a martial arts style pose as if ready to engage in competition or spring into a fight.
Bank Shares

Volt gets packing as ASX 200 bank shares prove to be a formidable force

The big banks beat out the market today. Here's what happened...

Read more »

BNPL written on a smartphone.
Bank Shares

Own CBA shares? Here’s how the major bank’s bet on Klarna is holding up

The buy now, pay later sector is hurting, but is CBA still sitting on a gain with Klarna?

Read more »

a mature but cool older woman holds a watering can and tends to a healthy green plant growing up the wall in her house.
Bank Shares

In the green: Why the NAB share price is rising on Wednesday

Is this bolstering the banking giant's stock today?

Read more »

A women cheers with clenched fists having read some good news on her laptop.
Bank Shares

Why is the ANZ share price outperforming the ASX 200 today?

ANZ shares are pushing higher despite the market weakness...

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price.
Bank Shares

Westpac share price inches ahead despite broker cutting its price target by 16%

Westpac shares are edging higher despite a bearish broker note...

Read more »