Why the Kogan share price can beat weak Aussie retail data

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price continues to climb higher even as weak retail sales data hurts its competitors' share prices.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price has been surging higher in 2019 towards its current $7.11 per share level.

Making the company's success even more impressive has been the difficult environment facing Aussie retail in the last 12 to 18 months.

Weak Aussie retail data hit competitor JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) hard in yesterday's trade in a mixed day for the ASX 200.

The JB Hi-Fi share price fell 2.18% yesterday on the weak retail news but the Kogan share price remained immune from the news.

So, what's the difference between the two and why can Kogan weather the retail storm in 2020?

Why the Kogan share price is still going strong

Part of Kogan's success can be put down to its online-only business model which cuts costs and reduces the reliance for foot traffic.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, seasonally adjusted sales rose by 0.2% while volumes were flat.

I can't see any real reason why JB Hi-Fi shares would be hit harder than the likes of Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN). I'd see this as more of a chance for the market to readjust the JB Hi-Fi share price from its lofty levels.

Despite the bleak retail news, however, the Kogan share price continued to climb higher on Monday and is up 107.06% this year.

Kogan's diversification certainly helps in times like these as it has branched out into travel, consumer credit, insurance and many other fields.

Kogan looks to be modelling itself on an Amazon.com Inc-type conglomerate play and the Kogan share price proving its success thus far.

Is there still time to buy?

While Kogan shares have been surging higher this year, they are quite expensive at the moment. The Kogan share price is sitting at $7.11 per share which is 39x the company's earnings.

Given the company's 52-week high is $7.50 per share, I think I'd be sitting tight until February rather than jumping on the momentum train right now.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

footwear asx share price on watch represented by look holding shoe and looking intently
Retail Shares

JPMorgan says buy these two undervalued ASX shares with big dividend yields

These stocks have been rated as bargain buys.

Read more »

A little girls sings her heart out on stage with tinsel sparkling behind her, she is a star.
Retail Shares

Do you own Lovisa shares? It's dividend day!

Lovisa shareholders are getting a sparkling payment today.

Read more »

A woman standing on the street looks through binoculars.
Retail Shares

What is the earnings forecast to 2026 for Wesfarmers shares?

This stock could keep making enormous profits.

Read more »

A man and woman in an office look at a laptop and discuss investing, budget strategies or other financial concepts
Retail Shares

How much passive income would $10,000 in Wesfarmers shares generate?

The owner of Bunnings is paying pleasing dividends.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

This hot ASX 300 stock is down 30% since February. Is it a buy?

This stock has fallen hard, but should investors buy the dip?

Read more »

A man eases back onto his sofa, happy with the relaxed vibe from his furniture.
Retail Shares

Why I just sold half my shares in this ASX 300 stock even though I still love it!

I’m still a big fan of this business.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

2 'very high-quality' ASX retail shares with significant inside ownership

A fund manager has named two appealing stocks to own.

Read more »

A man sits on a bench atop a mountain with a laptop, making investments with a green ESG mind.
Earnings Results

ASX All Ords stock KMD tumbles as interim dividend cancelled

Investors are hitting the sell button on ASX All Ords stock KMD today.

Read more »