Cash futures traders lift bets on an RBA Sept rate cut after RBNZ lops rates 0.5%

Xero Limited (ASX: XRO), a2 Milk Co. Limited (ASX: a2M) and Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) could benefit from a tumbling NZ dollar.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has torpedoed the Kiwi dollar this morning by cutting cash rates 50bps to 1% and dragged the Australian dollar 1% lower with it to a post-GFC low of just US66.9 cents versus the US dollar. 

The RBNZ's surprise decision to lop 50bps rather than 25bps off rates has caught currency market makers by surprise with the NZ dollar dropping 2% versus the US dollar to buy just US63.9 cents as at 13.20pm AEST. 

Cash rate futures traders were already pricing in more than a one in two chance of the RBA cutting rates 25bps to 0.75% this September and will be lifting those bets this afternoon as shown by the 1% fall in the Aussie this morning. 

Source: ASX website, August 7, 2019.

For ANZ investors one important outcome of a tumbling NZ dollar is that some of arguably the ASX's best growth shares in Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) and the a2 Milk Co. Limited (ASX: a2M) still report profits in NZ dollars, with a weaker Kiwi likely to boost their bottom lines. 

Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) is another high-flying NZ-based software business with a lot of overseas earnings in line to receive a bottom line boost.

While another Kiwi company in SaaS-based digital tithe merchant Pushpay Holdings Ltd (ASX: PPH) actually reports in US dollars, but if it ever were to pay dividends to its Kiwi shareholder base for example they would be more valuable with a weaker NZ dollar. 

Tom Richardson owns shares of A2 Milk and Xero.

You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of PUSHPAY FPO NZX. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended GENTRACK FPO NZ and PUSHPAY FPO NZX. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another strong showing from the share market today.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Share Market News

Will the Reserve Bank wait for the US Fed to cut interest rates first?

Here's when AMP thinks interest rates will be cut in the US, Australia, New Zealand, Canada and the Eurozone.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Healthco Healthcare, Medadvisor, Ramsay Health Care, and Tamboran shares are rising

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

Is it too late to buy gold as an investment in 2024?

Can we still take advantage of gold at new record highs?

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Mergers & Acquisitions

Wesfarmers shares baulk on fresh acquisition gossip

A healthcare company gone nowhere in a decade might be on Wesfarmers' radar.

Read more »