The BHP Group share price is up 15% this year: Is it too late to invest?

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) share price has been in fine form in 2018. Is it too late to buy the mining giant's shares? Goldman Sachs doesn't think it is…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been one of the best performing blue chips on the ASX 200 this year.

Year to date the mining giant's shares have climbed over 15%.

Why is the BHP share price up 15% this year?

BHP's shares have been on fire this year thanks to its bumper full year profit result and decision to return substantial funds to shareholders following asset sales.

In FY 2018 total revenue jumped 20% to US$43.6 billion and underlying net profit increased by a third to US$8.9 billion.

This strong result was driven by higher commodity prices and increased production of its key commodities.

At the time of its result, management reaffirmed plans to return the net proceeds from the US$10.8 billion sale of its unconventional shale assets in the United States.

Fast forward to today and this return to shareholders is just a matter of days away.

BHP's shares will go ex-dividend for its US$1.02 (A$1.45) per share special dividend on January 10. After which, this dividend will be paid to eligible shareholders at the end of the month on January 30.

Based on its last close price, this special dividend equates to a fully franked 4.2% yield.

Is it too late to invest?

Although its shares have rallied strongly this year, I don't think it is too late to pick up shares.

Earlier this month a note out of Goldman Sachs revealed that the broker has added BHP to its ANZ conviction buy list with a price target of $37.00.

This price target implies potential upside of 8.3% over the next 12 months but increases into the high-teens if you factor in its special dividend and next year's interim and final dividends.

Goldman is positive on BHP due to its belief that the mining giant is only halfway through a multi-year re-rating. It expects returns to improve significantly due to its strategy of focusing on maximising cash flow through high-returning growth.

The broker is also positive on Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC), but BHP remains is preferred pick in the space.

Overall, I agree with Goldman Sachs and would class BHP as a buy right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another strong showing from the share market today.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Healthco Healthcare, Medadvisor, Ramsay Health Care, and Tamboran shares are rising

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »

Smiling man working on his laptop.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was back to the races for ASX shares today, in a confident start to the week.

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a horrible way to end the trading week today for ASX investors.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »