Is Virgin Australia a buy at this share price?

Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd (ASX: VAH) share price has dropped 5.1% to 46.5 cents despite huge jump in pre-tax profit

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd (ASX: VAH) share price has dropped 5.1% in lunchtime trading to 46.5 cents, despite the airline reporting an underlying profit before tax of $81.5 million for the first half the 2016 financial year (FY16).

It's a significant jump over last year's $10.2 million underlying profit before tax, so why aren't investors enthusiastic about today's result?

Here's a brief summary of the results…

  1. Revenues of $2.7 billion, up 11.8% over the first half of 2015 financial year (1H FY15)
  2. Underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $161.4 million, compared to $54.3 million in 1H FY15
  3. Statutory profit after tax of $62.5 million, the strongest since the first half of 2010
  4. Operating cash flow of $10.2 million, compared to $64.8 million in 1H FY15
  5. Return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8% compared to 2.9% for the 12 months ended December 2014
  6. No dividend declared.

Virgin also reported strong growth in many of its metrics, including subsidiary TigerAir Australia achieving its highest half-year underlying EBIT of $13.9 million since it commenced operations.

The airline says it is on track to exceed cumulative cost savings target of $1.7 billion by the end of FY17 and CEO John Borghetti says Virgin is on track to deliver a profit for the 2016 financial year and deliver a return on invested capital (ROIC) in line with its cost of capital.

That last section is highly important. If a business can't generate returns higher than its cost of capital, it will go bankrupt fast.

A number of external factors have also contributed to Virgin's improved performance. Falling oil prices saved the airline $53 million in expenses, while the end of a domestic price war with rival Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) has allowed both airlines to prosper.

But despite all the positive news, Virgin still faces a multitude of issues. Its international business is still making a loss, the company carries more than $3 billion of debt on its books, and has committed to spending an additional $4.45 billion on aircraft and aeronautic-related assets, which is not recognised on its books. Let's also not forget the weak cash flow in this half.

Foolish takeaway

With around 75% of the shares owned by Air N.Z. FPO NZ (ASX: AIZ) (Air New Zealand), Etihad and Singapore Airlines and a further 10% by Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Group, Virgin shares aren't exactly very liquid. It could also be said that their holdings are strategic rather than for investment gains, so there seems little reason for any retail investors to hold shares in Virgin.

  Motley Fool writer/analyst Mike King doesn't own shares in any companies mentioned. You can follow Mike on Twitter @TMFKinga Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »