MENU

Growth outlook likely to end Fed stimulus

Although the economic growth outlook in the US is not outstanding, it seems that it may now be ‘good enough’ for the Federal Reserve to begin tapering off its bond buying program by the end of this year.

According to The Australian, the outlook has been upgraded from lousy to decent and fears of the occurrence of another downturn are considered minimal – although economists have only given a 13% chance that GDP growth of 3.5% will be achieved this year.

For the last three quarters, the country has achieved a seasonally adjusted annual rate of below 2%, which is quite poor in reality but it is certainly an improvement that the Federal Reserve has been waiting for. Improvements have also been seen in consumer spending, job gains and, in particular, the housing market, which has improved since the bust that led to the global financial crisis.

When the Fed does reduce its quantitative easing, the flow on affect is very likely to affect many companies on the ASX as volatility and investor uncertainty heightens. Westpac (ASX: WBC) and its rival banks, as well as other defensives such as Telstra (ASX: TLS) could suffer short-term selloffs, which would open up opportunities to buy stocks at cheaper prices.

It is strongly expected that the level of bond purchases will be reduced in September, whilst economists estimate just a 5% chance that the Federal Reserve will hold off until next year to reduce the stimulus.

Foolish takeaway

Global markets have been driven by central bank policies and low interest rates for an extended period of time. Whilst share markets have been susceptible to falls at the very mention of the US quantitative easing ending, it should also be noted that the end of the bond buying program would be reflective of a strengthening economy and thus, a good sign for the long-term!

Are you interested in our #1 dividend-paying stock? Discover The Motley Fool’s favourite income idea for 2013-2014 in our brand-new, FREE research report, including a full investment analysis! Simply click here for your FREE copy of “The Motley Fool’s Top Dividend Stock for 2013-2014.”

More reading


Motley Fool contributor Ryan Newman does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

Two New Stock Picks Every Month!

Not to alarm you, but you’re about to miss a very important event! Chief Investment Advisor Scott Phillips and his team at Motley Fool Share Advisor are about to reveal their latest official stock recommendation. The premium “buy alert” will be unveiled to members and you can be among the first to act on the tip.

Don’t let this opportunity pass you by – this is your chance to get in early!

Simply enter your email now to find out how you can get instant access.

By clicking this button, you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our website and about other products and services we think might interest you. You can unsubscribe from Take Stock at anytime. Please refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information.