Will the AMP share price sink lower in 2020?

Despite a torrid 12 months, could the AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price be in the buy zone next year?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

AMP Limited (ASX: AMP) shareholders have endured a tough year or so as the AMP share price has nearly halved in the last 12 months.

Despite jumping more than 4% on Friday, the AMP share price is still down 28.7% so far in 2019.

So, while the AMP share price is sitting at just $1.77 per share at the time of writing, will it continue to slide lower in 2020 or is now the time to buy the dip?

Why the AMP share price has fallen lower

The biggest factor that continues to weigh on the AMP share price is the fallout from the 2018 Financial Services Royal Commission.

The AMP share price took a hammering over the course of last year, plummeting 25.7% lower in one day after its "fee for no service" scandal surfaced during last year's hearings.

The Aussie wealth manager has since overhauled its leadership team including a new Chairman and CEO, but has seen its share price slide lower as it continues to try to sell off its troubled life insurance business.

What's the outlook for 2020?

AMP has ramped up its customer remediation plans in recent months, having set aside $700 million in December 2018 and a further $200 million in January 2019 for consumers who were wronged.

Under new leadership, AMP looks to be streamlining its operations amid an ongoing review of its advisor network in 2019.

After posting a $2.3 billion half-year loss on 8 August, AMP implored shareholders to stick with it throughout the transformation process despite recording a net cash outflow of $3.1 billion for the half-year.

The Aussie wealth manager said its planned $3.3 billion life insurance business sale was unlikely to go ahead, which does throw a spanner in the works for 2020.

AMP shares are currently yielding a lofty 8.0% per annum, but this is largely due to the dramatic share price fall from more than $5 per share just 18 months ago.

Should you buy the dip?

Regardless of whether you believe in AMP management's turnaround plan for the troubled wealth manager, the reality is that there are probably better buys on the ASX.

While IOOF Holdings Ltd (ASX: IFL) has similarly struggled to arrest its share price slump in 2019, the likes of Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) have shown that not all wealth managers are created equal.

With more and more Aussie super funds bringing their wealth management in-house, I can't see the next big revenue earner for the AMP, while the ongoing consumer remediation could be a potential headwind for growth and image change.

Overall, I think Magellan has proven itself to be a consistent performer for a long enough period of time to be considered the top wealth management stock on the ASX heading into 2020.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Bank Shares

ASX expert: Time to sell NAB shares

The calls that NAB shares are overvalued are growing louder...

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

UBS reveals which ASX 200 bank shares are the most attractive before their results

Are any of the banks buys heading into their reporting season?

Read more »

A woman sits at a computer with a quizzical look on her face with eyerows raised while looking into a computer, as though she is resigned to some not pleasing news.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price still at a 'stretched valuation'?

Are there more gains to come for this ASX banking giant?

Read more »

A woman in hammock with headphones on enjoying life which symbolises passive income.
Dividend Investing

Invest $20,000 in ANZ shares and get $1,200 in passive income

Can investors rely on ANZ for a 6% yield in their cash?

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

What happened with the big 4 ASX 200 bank shares this week?

Here’s why the ASX 200 bank shares caught my attention this week.

Read more »

Male hands holding Australian dollar banknotes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Do the dividends from ANZ shares still come fully franked?

Is ANZ becoming a big four bank that doesn't frank its dividends?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac shares undervalued by the market?

This leading broker has given its verdict on the banking giant.

Read more »

Business women working from home with stock market chart showing per cent change on her laptop screen.
Bank Shares

NAB shares push higher on leadership changes

This banking giant just announced a number of executive changes.

Read more »