Why the Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd share price could rally in 2017

It hasn't been a great year for shareholders of Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (ASX:API), but will 2017 be better?

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I feel it is fair to say that it has been a disappointing year for shareholders of Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (ASX: API).

Year-to-date the shares of the owner and operator of the Priceline, Soul Pattinson, and Pharmacist Advice brands are down 5%, compared to a staggering 37% gain from arch rival Sigma Pharmaceutical Limited (ASX: SIP).

Surprisingly, the underperformance of its shares comes despite the company delivering bumper profit growth this year. In October API reported underlying net profit after tax growth of 18% to $51.4 million.

Once again the Priceline brand was a key driver of the strong result. Sales in the segment grew 7.6% to $1.15 billion thanks partly to market share gains in key categories such as colour cosmetics and skincare.

During the year the company opened up 22 new Priceline stores, bringing its store network to a total of 442. A further 20 stores are expected to open over the next 12 months.

So why have the shares underperformed?

I would put a lot of the underperformance down to the fact that its shares were already a little on the expensive side. Its shares had been changing hands at as much as 20x full year earnings at times this year, which was a little on the high side historically and for its growth rate.

Also the uncertainty caused by CEO and managing director Stephen Roche's plan to step down from the role in February 2017 may have been a concern for investors. But I feel confident that the appointment of Richard Vincent from within will mean business as usual for the company.

So with its shares now priced at around 14x estimated FY 2017 earnings, I believe API represents a great investment option.

Especially with management anticipating another strong performance ahead in FY 2017 and its shares expected to provide a fully franked 4.2% dividend according to CommSec.

Sigma may have outperformed API this year, but I feel quite confident that in 2017 it will be a very different story.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »