Property investors are still leaving the market

Housing finance growth was strong for August, but investors are dropping out

a woman

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Today's Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) housing finance data for August 2015 shows that investor loans are falling, particularly for newly constructed houses and apartments.

Commitments for the construction of dwellings for rent or resale fell 1.6%, while the total value of investment housing fell 0.2% in August 2015, compared to July 2015.

Homeowners might be concerned by that data, although owner-occupier loans continue grow strongly. That suggests many existing homeowners are continuing to upsize or downsize creating a highly-liquid property market.

The big four banks Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) should also be happy with the data, with credit growth strong overall.

The problem with the ABS data is that it is months old, and trends in other data (auction numbers and clearance rates) suggest house values are falling and it has become a property buyers' market.

As we wrote in July 2015, investment loan numbers from mortgage broker Australian Finance Group Ltd (ASX: AFG) continue to fall.

Put it all together and there are definite signs that Australian property prices could be headed for a fall.

Motley Fool contributor Mike King doesn't own shares in any companies mentioned. You can follow Mike on Twitter @TMFKinga Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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