Here's why you should avoid Fortescue Metals Group Limited

Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX:FMG) has returned to the red in a big way today.

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Shares of Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) have returned to the red in a big way today, falling 5.2% to $1.84 and reversing most of the gains recognised on Wednesday.

Although the iron ore price climbed for the second-straight session to US$47.90 a tonne overnight, according to the Metal Bulletin, investors are likely responding to news that China's State Council has introduced a new round of tax cuts for its local miners in an effort to help them remain afloat. As reported by the Fairfax press, Chinese miners will receive a 6 yuan ($1.27) tax cut on each tonne of the commodity produced.

This comes as bad news to Australia's high-cost producers because it will help Chinese miners become even more competitive, while it could force iron ore prices even lower. Atlas Iron Limited (ASX: AGO) may have become the first major scalp claimed by the commodities crisis earlier in the week (the stock entered a voluntary suspension from trade), with BC Iron Limited (ASX: BCI) and Mount Gibson Iron Limited (ASX: MGX) potentially not too far behind.

While Fortescue Metals Group operates on lower costs and has the cash balance to help it survive for longer, it's still unlikely to be making a profit at these depressed prices. Given that most analysts expect iron ore to plummet even further over the next 12 months, Fortescue's shares could still have a lot further to fall before conditions begin to improve.

Ryan Newman has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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