Should you buy Goodman Group or Stockland Corporation Ltd?

Which property stock is the better buy right now: Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) or Stockland Corporation Ltd (ASX:SGP)?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

2014 has proven to be a positive year for investors in both Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) and Stockland Corporation Ltd (ASX: SGP), with both property companies easily outperforming the ASX. Indeed, while Goodman and Stockland are up 9% and 11% respectively year-to-date, the ASX has pulled back in recent days so that it's now up just 2% over the same time period. However, moving forward, which is the better investment; Goodman or Stockland?

Growth at a reasonable price?

When it comes to growth prospects during the current year, both Goodman and Stockland are roughly in-line with the wider market. Indeed, Goodman is expected to increase its bottom-line by 5.7% in the year to June 2015, while Stockland is due to deliver slightly better performance at 8.3% over the same time period.

However, while Stockland is set to deliver better growth numbers this year, its current valuation is higher. For example, it trades on a P/E ratio of 16.9, which is ahead of the ASX P/E ratio of 16.1 and, more importantly, ahead of Goodman's P/E ratio of 14.9. Despite this, Stockland's stronger growth potential means that its price to earnings to growth (PEG) ratio is still lower than that of Goodman, with it being 2.04 for Stockland versus 2.61 for Goodman. As a result, although a higher valuation may at first glance appear to suggest an overvaluation, Stockland appears to offer growth at a more reasonable price than its sector peer, Goodman.

Income prospects

In addition, Stockland offers investors more income potential than Goodman. For instance, Stockland's current (unfranked) yield is a whopping 6%. That's considerably higher than Goodman's (unfranked) 3.9%, and is also well ahead of the ASX's 4.6%. Therefore, even though Stockland is not forecast to increase dividends per share over the next two years (while Goodman is expected to increase them by 6.9%), its income potential remains higher than that of its sector peer.

Looking ahead

Clearly, both companies have their merits and could have bright futures. However, Stockland seems to offer more potential than its sector peer, Goodman. That's because it offers more 'bang for your buck' in terms of earnings growth for the price you are paying, as well as greater income potential despite no increases in dividends per share being forecast over the next couple of years. Therefore, in this head-to-head battle, Stockland comes out on top of Goodman.

Motley Fool contributor Peter Stephens does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »